4140 Alorian Election

Round 2
The presidential election was held in June 4140 to determine the next President of the Demokratische Republik Aloria. The President before the election was Lars Bartz. Mr Bartz won the election with a small majority.

Opinion Polling
Opinion polling was carried out between June 4137 and June 4140. The question asked is If there was a general election tomorrow, who would you vote for?, and the sample size ranged from 1,632 to 4,147. The accuracy of polls was relatively high for this election, unlike some previous elections. The graph shows how support has changed over time.

The Alorian Independence Party was polling well, reaching a peak of 64% in May 4135, and it didn't drop under 60% until September 4135. The AIP experienced a massive drop in support in November 4136, when Bert Keller stood down as leader and Nikolaus Forst was announced as new leader. They also suffered due to the reformation of the Alorian Front Party. The Alorian Labor Party was polling behind the AIP during all of 4135 and most of 4136. They experienced big gains when Nikolaus Forst was announced as leader of the ALP, and they also gained on the AIP when Aloria left the AU (September 4135), due to the AIP sometimes being seen as a one-issue party in recent years. When the AFP reformed, the ALP suffered a drop in support, but still led the AIP and AFP. ALP support slowly declined until they only had a lead of 1% in the final week of campaigning. The AFP did not run for election in 4134, and only reformed in March 4137. They quickly picked up support in the polls from both the AIP and ALP, reaching a peak of 35% in the polling.